Live Specials • Midterms • Presidential Futures • Updated just now

2026 Senate Forecast

Consensus (Cook/Sabato/270toWin/RTWH) • ~51R-49D Projection
Solid Republican (16+)
AL, AR, etc. (safe holds)
Toss-ups / Lean D (4–5 key)
ME (Collins vulnerable) NC open IA (Ernst)
Dems need net +4 for majority; GOP defends 22/35 seats up.

2026 House Forecast

Consensus • ~18–20 Toss-ups; Slight Dem Lean
Generic Ballot: Dem +7 to +8 (late March/April polls)
Key Factors
  • Dems need net +3–4 for majority (current ~218R-214D + vacancies)
  • Historical midterm losses for president's party (~25 House seats avg)
  • Redistricting battles: CA, NC, TX, VA ongoing
Dems favored in simulations; GOP slim majority at risk.

Upcoming Special Elections

Apr 14, 2026 → GA-14 House special
May 5, 2026 → NJ-11 House special
Nov 3, 2026 → FL Senate (Rubio vacancy special)
Nov 3, 2026 → OH Senate (Vance vacancy special)
More specials may be called; check Ballotpedia for live updates.

2028 Presidential Odds • Aggregates

JD Vance (R) • 46–54%
Gavin Newsom (D) • 18–26%
Marco Rubio (R) • 9–14%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) • 6–12%
Josh Shapiro (D) • 4–9%
Aggregated from Polymarket, PredictIt, Kalshi, ElectionBettingOdds • April 2, 2026